Euro-Atlantic security before and after COVID-19

Shota Gvineria
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Abstract

Abstract Contemporary global power competition has turned the world into a hybrid battlefield. In modern battlefield, authoritarian regimes have the strategic advantage of being irresponsible, reckless and aggressive. This advantage is combined with the ability of the authoritarian regimes to find cheap and effective - short of war - solutions for achieving geopolitical objectives. In past decades authoritarian regimes such as Russia and China have been actively applying hybrid strategies against the Western dominated rules based international system. Those strategies are being constructed based on identification and utilization of the vulnerabilities of the democratic political systems, institutions and societies. Pandemic crisis caused by unpredictable and unprecedented spread of the mutated new Corona virus, have underlined vulnerabilities and opened up new possibilities for the hybrid warfare. The pandemic influences every power on the global stage, but will COVID-19 be a turning point for the Euro-Atlantic Security environment?
新冠疫情前后的欧洲-大西洋安全
当代全球力量竞争已经把世界变成了一个混合的战场。在现代战场上,专制政权具有不负责任、不计后果、咄咄逼人的战略优势。与这种优势相结合的是,专制政权有能力找到廉价而有效的解决方案(不包括战争)来实现地缘政治目标。在过去的几十年里,像俄罗斯和中国这样的专制政权一直在积极地运用混合战略来对抗西方主导的基于规则的国际体系。这些战略是在查明和利用民主政治制度、体制和社会的弱点的基础上制定的。突变的新型冠状病毒的不可预测和前所未有的传播造成了大流行危机,突显了脆弱性,并为混合战争开辟了新的可能性。大流行影响着全球舞台上的每一个大国,但COVID-19会成为欧洲-大西洋安全环境的转折点吗?
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