Relevance of Keynesianism in Nepal: An Empirical Analysis

Hom Nath Gaire
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Abstract

In this paper, the relevance of Keynesian postulates has been examined in the Nepalese context for the period 1975-2012 using annual time series data. The empirical results from the Johansen co-integration tests clearly show that there is long run equilibrium relationship between government expenditure and real GDP, private consumption and gross fixed capital formation. Likewise, Granger Causality test confirms that there is bilateral causal relationship between government expenditure and gross fixed capital formation in Nepal. However, no causal relationship is observed between government expenditure and real GDP and private consumption. Thus, it is confirmed by this study that the Keynesian postulates are relevant for capital formation rather than for increasing real GDP growth and private consumption in Nepal.
凯恩斯主义在尼泊尔的相关性:一个实证分析
在本文中,使用年度时间序列数据,在尼泊尔背景下检查了1975-2012年期间凯恩斯假设的相关性。johnson协整检验的实证结果清楚地表明,政府支出与实际GDP、私人消费与固定资本形成总额之间存在长期均衡关系。同样,格兰杰因果检验也证实了尼泊尔政府支出与固定资本形成总额之间存在双边因果关系。然而,政府支出与实际GDP和私人消费之间没有因果关系。因此,本研究证实,凯恩斯主义假设与尼泊尔的资本形成有关,而不是与增加实际GDP增长和私人消费有关。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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