Method for the early warning of shallow landslides in Sichuan province, China

Xiaoxuan Li, D. Hu, Ting Liao, Yangsiqi Chen
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Abstract

Regional precipitation-induced landslide is one of the major geologic hazards in our country, which features large areas of damage, simultaneity, sudden breakout and serious consequences. Especially in Sichuan province where has happened earthquake, tectonic changed, secondary disasters happened very frequently. It is essential to carry out the research into the forecast and early warning of precipitation-induced landslide at the beginning of the national campaign launched for the geologic hazard weather forecast and early warning. Sichuan province was chose as study area, remote sensing image and actual statistics was basic material, combined the rainfall data, analysis the relationship of spatial and temporal distribution of landslide and rainfall comprehensively, the sensitivity of shallow landslide in Sichuan and the critical value of rainfall that induced landslides was determined. And simulate prediction was made, the time was July 17, 2009. The whole method was practical and feasible, scientific basis could be provided for prevention and mitigation.
四川浅层滑坡早期预警方法研究
区域降水诱发滑坡是我国主要地质灾害之一,具有破坏面积大、同时发生、突发性强、后果严重等特点。特别是四川地震频繁,构造变化频繁,次生灾害频发。在开展全国地质灾害天气预报预警工作之初,开展降水诱发滑坡预报预警研究是十分必要的。以四川省为研究区,以遥感影像和实际统计数据为基础资料,结合降雨资料,综合分析了滑坡与降雨的时空分布关系,确定了四川省浅层滑坡的敏感性和诱发滑坡的降雨临界值。并进行了模拟预测,时间为2009年7月17日。整个方法切实可行,可为防治提供科学依据。
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