Energy Production and Economic Growth: A Causality Analaysis for Turkey Based on Computer

O. Ozkan, M. Aktas, H. S. Kuyuk, S. Bayraktaroglu
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引用次数: 1

Abstract

High levels of energy prices and the promise of international initiatives on decreasing the greenhouse gas emissions have regenerated the argument about the execution of energy conservation policies. This paper investigates the causal relationship between aggregated and disaggregated levels of energy production, energy demand, energy import and economic growth for Turkey for the period of 1975–2007. The relationship between the energy production, energy demand, energy import and Gross Domestic Product is examined. To this end, Engle-Granger cointegration, Error Correction Model and Granger causality tests are applied in order to determine the aforementioned relation. It is found that the energy production has direct relationship with the GDP and it has causality effects.
能源生产与经济增长:基于计算机的土耳其因果关系分析
高水平的能源价格和减少温室气体排放的国际倡议的承诺重新引发了关于执行节能政策的争论。本文研究了1975-2007年期间土耳其能源生产、能源需求、能源进口和经济增长的汇总和分类水平之间的因果关系。考察了能源生产、能源需求、能源进口与国内生产总值之间的关系。为此,运用恩格尔-格兰杰协整、误差修正模型和格兰杰因果检验来确定上述关系。研究发现,能源生产与GDP之间存在着直接的因果关系。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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