Highway access safety evaluation from macro-meso-micro levels

Weijie Lu, Linjun Lu, Jianjohn Lu, Cheng Wang
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Abstract

The existing of highway access is a critical factor that influences highway safety due to the interaction between access traffic from driveway and through traffic of arterial road. There are numerous factors that affect access safety such as road environment, land use, network accessibility, access density, access lane channelization, sight distance etc. This article presented an intergrated model to fully evaluate access safety from macro-, meso-and micro-levels. The resarch methodology had two steps. The first step: latent clustering analysis method was used to tease out key factors from numerous factors that affect access safety. The second step: the weight of key factors was obtained by structural equation modeling (SEM) that establish the relationship between highway access related crash date variables and key factors of access safety. Crash data provided by highway bureau of Jiangsu province, China was utilized for analysis. In total 3,483 access related crashes at national highway numbered G205 (occurring between 2008 and 2011) were considered in the SEM models. The proposed access safety evaluation model was then compared with the existing model by analyzing their correlation with crash rate on another national highway numbered G204 in Jiangsu province, China. The comparison result demonstrated that highway access related crash rate was more correlated with the proposed access safety evaluation model than that in the existing model. The proposed access safety evaluation model is promising in the usage of access design, renovation and management by highway administration and transportation consulting agencies.
从宏观-细观-微观层面评价公路通行安全
高速公路出入口的存在是影响高速公路安全的关键因素,它是主干道车道出入口交通与主干道出入口交通相互作用的结果。影响道路安全的因素有很多,如道路环境、土地利用、网络可达性、通道密度、通道通道化、视距等。本文从宏观、中观和微观三个层面提出了一个综合评价模型。研究方法分为两个步骤。第一步:采用潜在聚类分析方法,从众多影响通道安全的因素中梳理出关键因素。第二步:通过结构方程建模(SEM)得到关键因素的权重,建立公路通道相关碰撞数据变量与通道安全关键因素之间的关系。采用中国江苏省公路局提供的碰撞数据进行分析。SEM模型考虑了2008年至2011年间发生在编号为G205的国道上的3483起与通道相关的交通事故。将本文提出的通道安全评价模型与现有模型进行比较,分析其与江苏省另一条国道G204碰撞率的相关性。对比结果表明,与现有模型相比,本文提出的通道安全评价模型与公路通道相关碰撞率的相关性更强。所建立的通道安全评价模型在公路管理和交通咨询机构的通道设计、改造和管理中具有一定的应用前景。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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