{"title":"Datestamping the Bitcoin and Ethereum Bubbles","authors":"S. Corbet, B. Lucey, L. Yarovaya","doi":"10.2139/ssrn.3079712","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"We examine the existence and dates of pricing bubbles in Bitcoin and Ethereum, two popular cryptocurrencies using the (Phillips et al., 2011) methodology. In contrast to previous papers, we examine the fundamental drivers of the price. Having derived ratios that are economically and computationally sensible, we use these variables to detect and datestamp bubbles. Our conclusion is that there are periods of clear bubble behaviour, with Bitcoin now almost certainly in a bubble phase.","PeriodicalId":130177,"journal":{"name":"ERN: Other Econometric Modeling: Capital Markets - Asset Pricing (Topic)","volume":"17 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0000,"publicationDate":"2017-12-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"487","resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"ERN: Other Econometric Modeling: Capital Markets - Asset Pricing (Topic)","FirstCategoryId":"1085","ListUrlMain":"https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.3079712","RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":null,"ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"","JCRName":"","Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 487
Abstract
We examine the existence and dates of pricing bubbles in Bitcoin and Ethereum, two popular cryptocurrencies using the (Phillips et al., 2011) methodology. In contrast to previous papers, we examine the fundamental drivers of the price. Having derived ratios that are economically and computationally sensible, we use these variables to detect and datestamp bubbles. Our conclusion is that there are periods of clear bubble behaviour, with Bitcoin now almost certainly in a bubble phase.
我们使用(Phillips et al., 2011)方法研究了比特币和以太坊这两种流行的加密货币的定价泡沫的存在和日期。与之前的论文不同,我们考察了价格的基本驱动因素。在推导出经济上和计算上合理的比率后,我们使用这些变量来检测和标记气泡。我们的结论是,存在明显泡沫行为的时期,比特币现在几乎肯定处于泡沫阶段。